News & Financial Advice

Standard & Poor's expects a mild recession in the euro area in the first half of 2012 and Thursday lowered growth forecasts for several countries.

In a report entitled "European Economic Perspective: The Return of the recession," the rating agency forecasts growth of 0.4% for the euro area next year, following 1.5% expected this year.It has revised its forecast to 0.5% growth for France in 2012 (against 0.8% previously), 0.6% for Germany (against 1%) and 0.1% for Italy (against 0.2%).

In 2013, growth would accelerate to 1.2% for the euro area to 1.3% for France, 1.5% for Germany, 0.5% for Italy and 1.0% for Spain (after + 0.3% expected in 2012).

"We now expect a mild recession in the first half of 2012 in the euro area, before a modest rebound in the second half of the year," wrote the chief economist at S & P for Europe, Jean-Michel Six.

"The impending recession threatening Europe was first found fertile ground in Spain, Portugal and Greece, but economic problems are spreading now in the heart of the euro area, France and Spain," says it.

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Sales distributors in the United States have reached record during the long weekend of Thanksgiving, which marks the beginning of the holiday season and New Year, buyers are coming in numbers to take the early opening of shops and attractive promotions.

These sales were up 16.4% over the same period a year earlier to 52.4 billion (39.25 billion euros), according to data released Sunday by the National Federation of the distribution ( NRF).

A total of 226 million people traveled between Thursday and Sunday in stores or on online sales sites.This is also an unprecedented level, compared with 212 million last year.

Among the big winners of the weekend appears Best Buy, one of the stores that opened its doors at midnight on the night of Thanksgiving.

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The Financial Markets Authority (AMF) French said Wednesday it has sanctioned two investment management companies, ADRs and Alternative Leaders France France, for failures of control and monitoring related to massive fraud orchestrated by Bernard Madoff until 2008 .

The fines amounted to 300,000 euros and 150,000 euros EIM France for Alternative Leaders France (ALF), the AMF said in a statement.

The exhibition of these two companies to the Madoff fraud was at the time of the revelation of it, from 63.5 million to three million ADRs and for ALF, said the AMF.

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European stock markets have all but closed down Friday, pushing the market to allow Germany to the European Central Bank to guarantee the debt of fragile countries in the euro area. But Berlin and the ECB still refuse it. A passerby looks at the course of the Tokyo Stock Exchange in March 2011.

Most European stock markets ended the week in the red, worried Berlin's refusal to use the European Central Bank (ECB) to reduce fears about fragile states. Paris has lost 0.4%, from under 3000 points, Frankfurt (-0.8%) and London (-1.11%) also won. Madrid and Milan have instead ended in the green (0.5% and 0.2% respectively). In the line of sight of the markets, the refusal to Berlin to call for the ECB to contain the crisis.Political pressures are becoming more numerous and demanding that the central bank relaxed its position to let him play the role of lender of last resort against Europe's most indebted. And put an end to soaring interest rates on debt. The spread between Germany and Spain has exceeded 500 basis points Friday. "As the savior of Italy but also in other countries precarious, there is that the ECB," said analyst Robert Halver Germany, Baader Bank, adding that "it is the only one who can fight against nuclear explosion in the euro area. "

Germany and the ECB opposed to an intervention

Germany, the only country ruled by the strong market is the focus of all eyes. Chancellor Angela Merkel refuses steadfastly calls to relax the policy of the ECB.

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The London Stock Exchange could launch a trading platform for SMEs in France provided that the incumbent operator, Euronext, or the authorities do not object, said its managing director Xavier Rolet in an interview published Thursday by The Tribune.

The London Stock Exchange began informal discussions in this direction, said Xavier Rolet, adding he had no deadline for now.

"We were contacted by French companies, which were probably disappointed by the abandonment of the SME market by the incumbent operator, Euronext," said the leader.

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Societe Generale plans to eliminate hundreds of positions in its Corporate and Investment Banking (CIB) to adapt its activities to the crisis in the euro area, have indicated Tuesday the unions of the bank at the end of a meeting with the CEO Frédéric Oudéa.

As BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole, SocGen launched in September a plan for savings and reducing the size of its balance sheet to enhance its financial strength and reduce its financing needs in dollars, after seeing its market capitalization s' collapse during the summer.

Universal Music, a subsidiary of Vivendi, announced Friday the signing of a definitive agreement with Citigroup to buy back the recorded music industry of its British rival EMI for a total of 1.2 billion sterling (1.4 billion euros).

The operation, if it goes to completion, will allow the first record company to add to its global purse of music stars such as Coldplay and Katy Perry, but it may be a long review and detailed by the competition authorities.

"It is a historic acquisition for UMG (Universal Music Group) and an important step in preserving the heritage of EMI Music," said Lucian Grainge, CEO of Universal, in a statement.

The U.S. bank, the Financial Times on Friday, would end the deadlock by agreeing to make such commitments at his expense.

Also interested in the recorded music division of EMI, the billionaire Len Blavatnik, owner of Warner Music Group, was considered the favorite, but according to two people familiar with the discussions, he threw in the towel last week after the rejection by Citigroup's offer of a $ 1.5 billion.

Search Valquant expects to triple the share price between 2013 and 2018, the company specializes in financial advisory finding that the attractive valuations and the prospect of a new cycle of rising secular justification to invest in this asset class .

Valquant does not exclude a relapse "serious and imminent threat" of a market still under reconstruction, stock prices remain extremely volatile and the risk remains very important in an economy close to recession.

The analyst firm has also expanded its area of ​​neutrality on the actions between 3100 and 3700 points on the CAC 40 index.

"The shares are cheap or very cheap (…Germany is not as virtuous people think (…) The problem is that we are dealing with a debt that does not generate growth, "he said.

"PERFORMANCE DEPOSIT"

Usually difficult, the month of October was marked this year by the rebound in stock exchanges, the pan-European Stoxx 600 index containing 7.65% after falling by about 18% in the first nine months of 2011.

Cyclical stocks have supported this rebound thanks to a renewed optimism, automotive bouncing from 15.75% last month after a decline of 27.21% between January and September, and the building containing 11 , 64% (-25.88% over the first nine months).

The Greek Ministry of Finance announced that new elections would be held on February 19. This date has been set by the leaders of the country's two main parties, George Papandreou and Antonis Samaras. Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos and the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou during the vote in Parliament of a new austerity plan, June 30, 2011.

The two main Greek political parties that have managed Sunday evening to a political agreement to form a national unity government agreed that February 19 would be the most appropriate date for the elections, said the Greek Ministry of Finance.

Adidas announced Thursday a further increase its sales outlook for 2011, thanks to strong demand for its sports goods in emerging markets and expansion of its stores.

The number two manufacturer of sporting goods after Nike has identified three times its sales prospects this year.

The German group now expects growth in its turnover by nearly 12%, adjusted for exchange rate changes, against a target of 10% previously announced, the company announced Thursday.

For 2012, Adidas is an increase from 10 to 15% of its earnings per share, a year that will be paid by the UEFA Cup and 2012 Olympic Games in London.

Its turnover is expected to grow between 5 and 10% next year, adjusted for currency movements.

The group's operating income in the third quarter 2011 rose 7.3% to 441 million euros, in line with analysts' expectations, which stood at 442 million.

The quarterly revenue rose to 3.74 billion euros, slightly higher than the expected 3.65 billion.