News & Financial Advice

The number of unemployed in Germany fell in August to its lowest level since November 2008, thus establishing the conditions for continued growth in household spending needed to recover more balanced economy.

The Federal Labour Office said on Tuesday a drop of 17,000 job seekers in seasonally adjusted data (SDA) between July and August, whose number was reduced to 3.193 million.

This decline is however slightly less than that envisaged by economists to Reuters, who had anticipated a decline of 20,000.

In July, the decrease in the number of unemployed was 21,000 according to revised figures, against 20.000 originally announced.

The unemployment rate remained steady in August, and in line with expectations at 7.6% of the workforce.

On the employment front, Germany seems to fare better than its European partners, since the rate of unemployment in the euro area remained unchanged in July at 10%.

The German government has also been criticized by other countries, including France, who believe that Berlin does not enough to stimulate domestic demand, which would be favorable for exports of country partners.

"SUCCESS STORY"

"The impressive performance of the labor market can become a real success story if it eventually leads to a recovery in private consumption," said Carsten Brzeski, of ING Financial Markets.

"This is not only the decline in unemployment bodes well for private consumption but also job creation. Since the beginning of the year, the trend in employment is still growing," says he.

Berlin, however, reflected in an austerity plan intended to save 80 billion euros over the next four years.

"The U.S. economy is very bad right now," he told a press conference Heinrich Alt, the Federal Labour Office.

"There are a lot of risks.Until now the trend is stable but we can not ignore that the situation is more fragile than other periods of recovery. "

Economists estimate that slower growth should however not too cripple the labor market, while in the second quarter of the German economy grew at its fastest pace since the country's reunification in 1990.

"The economy will not be able to maintain these high growth rates. The pace will slow in the fall and next year.But the slowdown will not be strong enough to have a significant impact on the labor market, "says Eckart Tuchtfeld, Commerzbank.

In unadjusted data, the number of unemployed fell from 4,000 in August to 3.188 million against 3.192 million in July for an unemployment rate unchanged at 7.6%.

The Federal Office of Statistics for its part announced that the number of people working in Germany had increased from 40,296,000 in June to 40.305 million in July.

* Chart the evolution of unemployment in Germany:

r.reuters.com/nec48n

Heineken, the world's third largest brewer, said Wednesday a larger increase than expected half-year net income, reducing costs offset declining sales of beer in Europe and North America.

The Dutch group, whose main brands are Heineken and Amstel, saw sales volumes fall 2.3% on a comparable basis in the first six months of the year, but lower costs, the prices of raw materials and financial burdens, and the contribution of its joint ventures have enabled him to increase its net profit by 17% to 621 million euros.

Twelve analysts surveyed by Reuters had forecast an average result of 595 million.

In the exchanges of Amsterdam, Heineken action reduced its gains at midday, after gaining more than 2% in the morning and signed one of the most Shakers in the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index.

Some analysts suggest the group's exposure to the austerity measures in Europe to explain the slowdown.

Despite his good half, Heineken said to be cautious about the prospects of the beer market in Europe and the United States due to continued weakness in consumer spending in general and announced fiscal austerity plans.

Its sales volumes should continue to grow in parallel in Latin America, Africa and Asia.

LITTLE IMPACT OF THE INCREASE OF GRAIN

The results presented Wednesday included two months on the contribution of the activities of FEMSA Mexican beer, bought by Heineken in order to increase its presence in emerging markets.

Last year, Heineken has done a little more than half its sales in Western Europe. On Wednesday, he assured that the integration of FEMSA is proceeding satisfactorily and that it should generate synergies in the second half.

"Cost savings are slightly higher than expected, the contribution of FEMSA, too," said Trevor Stirling, an analyst at Bernstein Research.

"I do not see why the second half would be worse than the first.This should not be as bad in Eastern Europe and this should improve the United States (…) The fundamental dynamic is healthy. "

The group said growth forecasts of at least 10% of its net earnings over the whole year, indicating that volume trends in Latin America, Africa and Asia, as well as price increases , continue to have an impact on profitability.

The CEO of Heineken, Jean-Francois van Boxmeer, described the first half of "robust" and added that the recent rise in grain prices, driven by drought in Russia, would have little impact on the consolidated because purchases are concluded a year in advance and are largely covered before harvest.

"For the part that we have to cover, we must wait until the market calms down," he said during a teleconference.

Enel has announced plans to launch the initial public offering (IPO) of its affiliate company specialized in renewable energies over the last two weeks of October.

The Italian group of community service, the actor in the sector the most indebted in Europe, hopes to raise between three and four billion euros in bringing to market a minority stake in Enel Green Power, which could be the largest such operation in Europe this year.

"The IPO will take place in the second half of October," said a spokesman for Enel Friday.

The banks involved in the operation on Friday met Chief Financial Officer of Enel, Luigi Ferraris, to discuss the case, said the spokesman, adding that the company continued with its parallel search for a buyer for participation .

This dual approach (dual track) means that in theory, Enel could abandon at the last minute to rate its subsidiary if the sale of OTC was a realistic alternative to public offerings.

"At the meeting with the banks this morning, the focus has been on the IPO, but this does not mean that the company abandoned its dual-track approach," said the spokesman.

Sources have told Reuters that the international coordinators of the IPO were Mediobanca, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse and Intesa Sanpaolo.

The leaders of the transaction are JP Morgan, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, BBVA and Unicredit.

EADS announced that it is more of its objectives in 2010, reinforced by the recent trade performance of Airbus, its flagship division.

The European aerospace and defense, however, reported first-half results down, therefore including exceptional negative currency effects.

During the period January to June, the adjusted operating profit – before interest, taxes, goodwill and exceptional items – EADS fell 54% to 406 million euros.Net income decreased 51% to 185 million while turnover was up 1% to 20.3 billion euros.

The evolution of exchange rate weighed on operating profit adjusted to 550 million euros.

In the second quarter alone, adjusted operating income down 51% to 323 million euros, net profit plunged 61% to 82 million and revenues fell 3% to 11.35 billion.

For this period, 14 analysts polled by Inquiry Financial Europe AB anticipated adjusted operating profit of 285 million euros and a net profit of 146 million and a turnover of 11.25 billion.

Given the high level of orders placed at Farnborough Air Show in July, Airbus now believes it could end the year with over 400 gross orders when he was 300-400 commands at beginning of year.

Deliveries should be on their side on some 500 aircraft (498 in 2009) and the manufacturer plans to increase the production rate of its single-aisle aircraft from 34 units per month at present to 40 units per month from the first quarter of 2012.

Penalized by a more difficult environment, the helicopter manufacturer Eurocopter for its part should register a level slightly lower than shipments in 2009.

EADS now expects to post revenues of more than 44 billion euros in 2010 on the basis of one euro to 1.35 dollar but maintains its objective of operating income adjusted to about one billion euros.

When presenting its first quarter results, the company said it expected to reach a turnover "broadly stable" – he had totaled 42.82 billion euros in 2009 – on the basis of a euro to $ 1.40.

Ingenico posted a net income multiplied by more than two in the first half thanks to the increase in transactions in Europe and raised its sales target.

The specialist in payment terminals is now 805-815000000 euros in turnover for 2010 while the group was counting on sales until now included in the top of the range from 790 to 805,000,000.

Its net profit was for the first half of 2010 to 11,200,000 euros, an increase of 133% compared to last year, returning to levels comparable to early 2008, while its net sales reached 395 million, up 10% over the first six months of 2009 on a comparable basis.

"The return to positive momentum in the second quarter we can see our goal of increasing revenue and our target operating margin adjusted for 2010, said Thursday in a statement Philip Lazarus, CEO of 'Ingenico.

The adjusted operating margin target of between 12.5% to 13% is thus maintained for 2010, same as the EBITDA margin between 16% and 17%.

The group had also exceeded its expectations for adjusted operating margin, which stood at 9.3% against a target level "comparable" to 8.6% in first half 2009 pro forma.

The Group's organic growth was driven by its performance in China, Germany and France.Ingenico has continued its acquisition strategy by taking control of both companies in the areas of services related to payments, Transfer To to Singapore and First Data Iberica in Spain.

On the historic market of payment terminals, the main competitors remain Ingenico Hypercom and VeriFone Americans.

At the close Thursday, as the group finished down slightly from 0.1% to 19.40 euros, bringing its market capitalization to nearly $ 950 million.

Nippon Steel, the fourth largest producer of steel, has experienced an improvement in its results for the fifth consecutive quarter, but reported lower than expected given the market slowdown in growth in China.

The Japanese group has announced a recurring earnings, before taxes and exceptional items, of 61.9 billion yen (541 million euros) for the period April to June, against a loss of 56.7 billion yen a year earlier .

Its sales jumped 30% to 970.6 billion yen.

The steelmaker Nippon nevertheless intends to realize an annual profit of 250 billion yen, while the Thomson Reuters consensus I / B / E / S expects 316 billion yen.

Nippon Steel and ArcelorMittal joins said he expects a sharp drop in its third quarter results, in the grip of a slowdown in economic growth in China, a seasonal decline in activity and an increase prices of raw materials.

The sharp drop in prices in China have led steelmakers to cut production and the market could find itself in a situation of excess supply even while Beijing hardened its policy and reduced exports.

The Japanese group also announced Wednesday it would form a technical alliance with Australian BlueScope Steel for reinforced steel products for construction markets to boost sales abroad.

After the results, the title of Nippon Steel closed up 3.73%, to 306 yen.

The Paris Bourse, as all European markets ended down sharply on Thursday following the publication of a series of disappointing U.S. indicators, confirming the interruption of a long sequence of increase initiated the day before.

The CAC 40 index finished down 1.41% at 3581.82 points, after playing a note on irregular closely during most of the session. The index had already paused Wednesday (-0.13%), having won more than 9% in six sessions of consecutive increase.

London fell by 0.8% and Frankfurt 0.97%.As for the European indices, the EuroStoxx 50 yielded 1.35% and 1.14% Eurofirst 300.

'Investors are still worried about the slowdown in the United States, and after the recent good performance of markets, profit-taking seem necessary given that the risks are always present ", says Claudia Panseri, chief strategist at SG CIB .

Falling producer prices and the index of the New York Fed has cooled the enthusiasm of investors even though they had enthusiastically welcomed the results published by JPMorgan.

Similarly, producer prices have fallen more sharply than expected in June and the condition index of industrial activity were sharply down in July.

After cutting their losses in early afternoon following the publication of excellent results by JP Morgan, the banks are heavily impact the market.

Dexia largest decline of ACC, ended down 5.12% to 3.243 euros, Crédit Agricole of 3.26% to 9.287 euros and BNP Paribas 4.01% to 48.705 euros.

The values "dollar" have suffered bad news on growth overseas as the U.S. currency.

In the aerospace sector, EADS lost 4.86% to 16.550 euros and 4.59% at Saffron 20.800 euros. In the area of semiconductors, STMicroelectronics has yielded 2.08% to 6.776 euros and 8.063 to 4.91% Soitec euros.The euro is trading at 1.2906 / 08 1.2738 dollars against the previous day.

U.S. light crude lost $ 1.05 per share to 75.99 dollars a barrel.

Sales at department stores conducted between last Wednesday, the first day of sales, and next Saturday are up 10-17% in Paris and about 6% in the province over the same period of 2009, told Reuters Claude Boulle, Chairman of the Union of the great trade center (UCV).

This period, during which traders are allowed to sell at a loss, will end Aug. 3.

"We are surprised by such enthusiasm," said Claude Boulle, who gives the rain, precipitation related to the timing of sales compared with the academic pace and demands of tourists, especially from emerging countries like Asians or Brazilians.

Claude Boulle, however, refuses "to be triumphalist" for now because, he says, should not at this very good start followed by a drop in purchases after July 15.

"The balances are played on a shorter and shorter," he observes.

As every year, the discounts offered in the department stores were included in 30 and 50% and new markdowns could be proposed "if there are still things to sell," added Claude Boulle.

The TCU brings together nearly nine billion euros in turnover with 600 stores in 300 cities in France, such as Galeries Lafayette, Printemps or C & A.

The German unemployment rate reached its lowest level since December 2008 but the uncertain economic outlook for 2011 could undermine this trend.

The number of unemployed fell by 21,000 in Germany in June, seasonally adjusted data, after falling 41,000 in May (revised from 45,000) to go back to 3.23 million, announced the Federal Labour Office.

The German unemployment rate displays and twelfth consecutive month of decline.

"The unemployment figures have stagnated at this level," said Andreas Scheurle, economist at DekaBank. "The economy is expected to deteriorate in 2011.This suggests that this figure should remain at this level. "

The number of unemployed for the month of May has been revised from 3,246,000 to 3,251,000 people.

The unemployment rate remained unchanged in June at 7.7% of the workforce.

Economists polled by Reuters expected a larger decline in the number of unemployed, with 25,000 applicants for fewer jobs and an unemployment rate unchanged at 7.7%.

In unadjusted data, the number of unemployed fell by 88,000 over the month to 3.153 million.

The director of the Federal Labour Office, Frank-Juergen Weise, it is possible that the number of jobseekers fell below the three million mark by the end of the year.He stressed the good economic performance in the second quarter but had doubts in 2011.

The drop in unemployment follows a surge in industrial orders in April.

"As the order books are filling up, companies must increasingly resort to stop using part-time work or new employees. However, he cautioned against being too optimistic," said Joerg Zeuner VP Bank.

The German manufacturing activity fell further in June, suggesting a slower recovery in Europe in the second half of 2010.

"The impending austerity measures to balance budgets in the euro area is already clouding the outlook," he adds."A further decline in demand would again use under pressure."

German Chancellor Angela Merkel unveiled this month a plan to achieve budgetary savings of 80 billion euros over the next four years, with the objective to comply with the requirements of the European Union by 2013.

Officially, the subject is not on the table. For its pension reform, Nicolas Sarkozy ruled out the possibility of reaching the level of pensions – and thus to contribute to today's retirees. However, the idea is more in tune with the times. The economist Patrick Artus and militates in favor of a form of redistribution from older to younger. As the founding Terra Nova, near the PS, it is about to publish a report on the mind-blowing subject. One of its main proposals: align the tax on retirement assets that, while it is now lower.

An idea supported by a growing number of experts. This is the case of Bruno Palier, a researcher at Cevipof and pension specialist: "The rate of the CSG paid by retirees is 6.6% against 7.5% for assets. Align the two already bring in three billion euros per year.The advantage of such a reform, according to the economist: it would spare the poorest pensioners, exempt from income tax, who do not pay either the CSG. "It is quite unfair to say they will tighten the rules only for those who will in the future, while the system is very generous to pensioners today," notes Francois Legendre, an economist at the center of Employment Studies and author of numerous works on pensions.

It must indeed distinguish reforms necessitated by the longer life expectancy than those imposed by the arrival at the age of retirement for many generations of post-war. "Baby boomers French have not taken the necessary measures to ensure the funding of their pensions. It is not normal that this weighs on active today.From this point of view, a transient increase in the CSG of retirees is defensible, "said Antoine Bozio co-signer, Thomas Piketty, of a proposed radical overhaul of the French pension system. According to this expert, the question does not arise if the baby boomers French had at the time they were active themselves, fed a pension reserve fund, as were the Swedes do, and even American …

See also: What you should know about pension reform