The euro rebounded frankly Monday at midday, as equity markets driven by banking stocks after opening sharply lower, thanks to hopes for the European Central Bank cut its interest rates for support the economy.
The ECB is the only one of four 'major' world's central banks to have begun a cycle of rising rates, falling twice since April. The easing of inflationary pressures reinforces those who believe that the ECB will be forced to ease monetary policy because of sluggish growth.
"The ECB does not undertake to advance and rate cuts can not be excluded.It all depends on future developments, "said Ewald Nowotny in the morning, a member of the Governing Council of the ECB.
The euro, which hit a new low in eight months against the dollar and a 10-year low against the yen, is back above $ 1.35 in favor of speculation the ECB and a Ifo business climate in Germany better than expected although declining.
The anticipation of a share of the ECB also feeds a rebound in oil prices.Brent, who had fallen below 102 dollars, is trading around 104.80 dollars a barrel and U.S. crude, which had been reduced to just above 77 dollars, rose above $ 80 a barrel .
The Ifo economist Klaus Abberger Institute said he expected a return of the refinancing rate of the ECB to 1% – against 1.5% now – while stressing that it is difficult to anticipate when the decline could intervene.
This perspective has somewhat overshadowed concerns about the debt crisis in the euro area and the difficulties of European leaders at the curb.
On equity markets, the Paris Bourse takes about 3%, as the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, supported by the values of the insurance and banking, respectively, whose indices resumed about 6% and 4.7% .
The U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds were down in response to buoyant equity markets, but caution is still required and the predominant feeling is that this decline will be only short-term bond markets.
The index futures suggested Wall Street now open sharply higher as they gave a sharp decline in market early in the day.
Eurobond BELIEVED "inevitable"
Asian stock markets were down sharply over yet, as investors once again stung by the fact that the EU leaders' discussions, especially concerning the strengthening of EFSF, have resulted in anything concrete.
Europe has once again been called to beef up Sunday its response to the debt crisis that afflicts him, asking the International Monetary Fund including more action from the European Central Bank.According to the IMF, the ECB is indeed the only player strong enough to "scare" the financial markets.
"As long as political leaders have not developed a long-term solution to address the debt crisis, the short-term outlook for copper and equity markets will remain negative," said Ong Yiling analyst Phillip Futures.
Klaas Knot, Member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank (ECB) on Monday called for the creation of an independent budgetary authority to impose sanctions on countries in the euro area with a high deficit.
He also finds "inevitable" the introduction of euro bonds common to the euro area.